I still have gold as being in a price bubble with a top in the neighborhood of $1500 oz. I have
looked at all the arguments in favor of a continuation of the bull run in gold, but I do not have
an imagination strong enough to rationalize these inputs into a higher price, much less the
$1500 level. I just do not posses that golden vision. I continue to short gold periodically as I
have been doing since last Oct. I have a 27% profit via DZZ using a small amount of capital.
Gold is overbought now on RSI, but not on the important MACD measure or on the basis of
premium to the 200 day m/a. 3Yr. Gold Chart. I have no position in the gold market as of now,
but since we have had a mini blow off run, I would be tempted to short it via DZZ if the gold's
5 day m/a were to break below the 10 day m/a. $Gold
I have ended full text posting. Instead, I post investment and related notes in brief, cryptic form. The notes are not intended as advice, but are just notes to myself.
About Me
- Peter Richardson
- Retired chief investment officer and former NYSE firm partner with 50 plus years experience in field as analyst / economist, portfolio manager / trader, and CIO who has superb track record with multi $billion equities and fixed income portfolios. Advanced degrees, CFA. Having done much professional writing as a young guy, I now have a cryptic style. 40 years down on and around The Street confirms: CAVEAT EMPTOR IN SPADES !!!
1 comment:
If this helps on Gold, here is a fairly accurate contrary indicator:
http://www.technologyinvestor.com/
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