About Me

Retired chief investment officer and former NYSE firm partner with 50 plus years experience in field as analyst / economist, portfolio manager / trader, and CIO who has superb track record with multi $billion equities and fixed income portfolios. Advanced degrees, CFA. Having done much professional writing as a young guy, I now have a cryptic style. 40 years down on and around The Street confirms: CAVEAT EMPTOR IN SPADES !!!

Wednesday, June 02, 2010

Not Quite Loafing

Posting has been light over the past couple of weeks. I have taken
a little time out to enjoy my retirement, supervise some property
clean up from the winter storms, and do some thinking about how
best to portray the likely economic / financial environment for the
rest of 2010. I think I am closing in on the latter, so the posting
pace should pick up soon. I use a bunch of boom / bust type
economic and financial indicators to do my work, and looking back,
the volatility these indicators have exhibited has been extraordinary
since mid - 2008. The indicators show a "V" pattern pretty much
across the board, but that "V" appears to have broken off, so now
the job is to get the right handle going forward and to do so without
overreacting and, avoid heavy reliance on verbal hedging.

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