About Me

Retired chief investment officer and former NYSE firm partner with 40 years experience in field as analyst / economist, portfolio manager / trader, and CIO who has superb track record with multi $billion equities and fixed income portfolios. Advanced degrees, CFA. Having done much professional writing as a young guy, I now have a cryptic style. 40 years down on and around The Street confirms: CAVEAT EMPTOR IN SPADES !!!

Tuesday, November 13, 2012

Eurozone Status Check

Critically needed monetary liquidity growth is wavering after a modest advance.
The broader money supply remains negative in real terms as EZ private sector credit
continues to decline. The EZ recession-- still mild --  has been slowly deepening and
broadening. The Euro and the stock market remain well off lows based on the
promise of sizable securities purchases from the ECB (If only the needy would ask
for it).

Euro stocks as a group outperformed the US market in the recent rally from early Jun.
even though the Euro weakened against the US$ and fundamentals fared worse compared
to the US. The recent strong comparitive equities performance in the EZ is far too
sophisticated a move for a guy like me who sits a wide ocean apart from Euroland.

IEV and $XEU chart

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