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About Me

Retired chief investment officer and former NYSE firm partner with 50 plus years experience in field as analyst / economist, portfolio manager / trader, and CIO who has superb track record with multi $billion equities and fixed income portfolios. Advanced degrees, CFA. Having done much professional writing as a young guy, I now have a cryptic style. 40 years down on and around The Street confirms: CAVEAT EMPTOR IN SPADES !!!

Thursday, April 07, 2011

Oil Price -- Thanks For The Memories

Back on 12/16/10, I guessed that oil could hit $110 bl. in 2011. We are there. And, I am gone
from this market on the long side after nearly a year of very profitable trades. I leave the chasing
to those of stouter heart. Oil is added to my list of potential shorts for some point in 2011.

At $110, oil only needs to travel up to $120 to return to a price bubble. It is in an uptrend now
that shall grow increasingly ominous for the global economic expansion and for the world's
major stock bourses.

Oil is now very strongly overbought. Oil price chart.

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