About Me

Retired chief investment officer and former NYSE firm partner with 50 plus years experience in field as analyst / economist, portfolio manager / trader, and CIO who has superb track record with multi $billion equities and fixed income portfolios. Advanced degrees, CFA. Having done much professional writing as a young guy, I now have a cryptic style. 40 years down on and around The Street confirms: CAVEAT EMPTOR IN SPADES !!!

Tuesday, June 29, 2010

Long US Treasury -- Getting Overbought

Yes, the 30 yr. Treas. is getting overbought on its 40 wk m/a and on
12 wk RSI. The sentiment indicators I follow have moved well into
"too many bulls" territory as well. So, the bond is setting up as a
short on technical grounds, but given the strong price momentum,
I would like to see sentiment get more extreme. $USB chart.

Parenthetically, it is rather ironic to see this bond moving to a major
overbought when so many market pundits and observers had written
it off as done for earlier in the year.

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