Wednesday, December 17, 2008

Stock Market -- Short Term Technical

The short term uptrend is gaining firmer footing now as the
25 day m/a is set to join a rising 10 day m/a. However, the
SP 500 is strongly overbought in the very short run following
yesterday's ZIRP rally, courtesy of the Fed. Note also on the
chart link below that the "500" has not taken out two previous
interim peaks of recent weeks at 910-911, indicating resistance
and hesitancy. It is tempting to say that a healthier rally would
have easily blown through that level, but first we need to
see how well the market handles the short run overbought.

The ADX indicator is set to turn positive (+D1 to go through -D1),
but note the weakening momentum line in black. That is not a
confidence builder either. Chart.

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